GEO‐WIND‐HWS 2 Student Assignments

Student Research
HWS places significant focus on undergraduate research by developing opportunities in class during the academic year, as well as offering student opportunities to conduct more comprehensive research projects during the long-running Summer Research Program on the HWS campus. The real-time collection of data and the dissemination of information during outreach events about weather research and the opportunities to study atmospheric science as part of the Geoscience curriculum at HWS were of benefit to the students. These opportunities piqued many students interest and two of the HWS students who participated in GEO-WIND-HWS-II applied and were accepted to work with Professors Laird and Metz during the 2015 HWS Summer Research Program.

GEO 260/GEO 355 DOW Forecasting Assignment 
All students in these two classes issued two separate DOW forecasts that were disseminated to all participants in the GEOWIND-HWS-II Project. The assignment has been reproduced below.

For the next couple of weeks, the Doppler on Wheels (DOW) will be stationed on campus. We will be going on deployments based upon the local weather conditions in the region. We plan to deploy within a one-hour radius of Geneva.

You will create a three-paragraph forecast (~2–2.5 pages single spaced) on the day you are scheduled. The forecast will be for the next day and will take the following format. The first paragraph will describe anything interesting that is going to occur in the eastern half of the United States (focus both on synoptic and mesoscale weather). The second paragraph will discuss the meteorological impacts and conditions forecast near Geneva, NY (distinctly mesoscale). The final paragraph will include a deployment recommendation for the DOW. Do you recommend that we deploy the next day? If so, what type of weather will we be sampling? Is there a
particular location near Geneva that we should consider?

For example, if a strong low-pressure system and cold front are situated in the eastern United States, this should be discussed in the first paragraph. Perhaps this cold front will leave the Geneva region with strong winds and three hours of snow between 3 PM and 6 PM. Following the frontal passage, lake effect snow may set up under WNW winds over Syracuse from 6 PM until Midnight. This information should appear in the second paragraph. Finally given this information, your recommendation might be that we set-up shop with the DOW just north of Geneva beginning around 4 PM. This would let us sample the cold frontal passage and then “see” lake-effect snow.

Your forecast for the following day is due to me by 9 PM the day prior and should cover the 6 AM to Midnight period the following day! For example if you are due to forecast for Friday, your forecast should include 6 AM until midnight on Friday, and is due to me by 9 PM on Thursday. You may use any source you wish to create your forecast and should include 7–10 images embedded in your forecast. Be sure to reference each figure you include. The more specific you can be in your forecast the better. Once you send me the forecast, I will disseminate it via email to the students in GEO 355, GEO 182, GEO 260, and GEO 262 (those that may take part in a deployment). My GEO 260 class will also be creating similar forecasts. I will provide the first forecast as a guide.

Your forecast will be graded in the following method.

20 points: Scientific Reasoning
Your grade will not be based on the accuracy of your forecast, but rather the scientific reasoning you use. For example, if you discuss a cold front, describe a bit about the conditions it will bring. How fast will it move through our region? What will the weather be like behind it? If there is lake-effect snow, where will the major accumulations set up? Why? You are free to ask me questions in the days leading up to your forecast.

2. 5 points: Scientific Writing
Your forecast should be carefully written and edited. Remember that I will be sending your forecast out to many other people and we will be using it in order to make a decision if we should deploy the DOW. Thus, it is important that you write clearly and concisely. The conclusions you reach in the third paragraph of your forecast should reflect the weather you discuss in the first two paragraphs. The local impacts you discuss in paragraph two should relate to the large-scale weather that is ongoing in the eastern portion of the United States that you describe in paragraph one.